In a stunning reversal, US President Donald Trump said he
would temporarily lower the hefty duties he had just imposed on dozens of
countries while further ramping up pressure on China, sending global stocks
rocketing higher. Trump's turnabout on Wednesday, which came less than 24
hours after steep new tariffs kicked in on most trading partners, followed the
most intense episode of financial market volatility since the early days of the
Covid-19 pandemic. The upheaval erased trillions of dollars from stock markets
and led to an unsettling surge in US government bond yields that appeared to
catch Trump's attention. "I thought that people were jumping a little bit out of
line, they were getting yippy, you know," Trump told reporters after the
announcement, referring to a golf term. Since returning to the White House in January, Trump has
repeatedly threatened an array of punitive measures on trading partners, only
to revoke some of them at the last minute. The on-again, off-again approach has
baffled world leaders and spooked business executives, who say the uncertainty
has made it difficult to forecast market conditions. The day's events cast into stark relief the uncertainty
surrounding Trump's policies and how he and his team create and implement them. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent asserted that the
pullback had been the plan all along to bring countries to the bargaining
table. Trump, though, later indicated that the near-panic in markets that had
unfolded since his April 2 announcements had factored in to his thinking. Despite insisting that his policies would never change, he
told reporters on Wednesday: "You have to be flexible." But he kept the pressure on China, the No. 2 provider of US
imports. Trump said he would raise the tariff on Chinese imports to 125% from
the 104% level that took effect at midnight, further escalating a high-stakes
confrontation between the world's two largest economies. The two countries have
traded tit-for-tat tariff hikes repeatedly over the past week. Trump's reversal on the country-specific tariffs is not
absolute. A 10% blanket duty on almost all US imports will remain in effect,
the White House said. The announcement also does not appear to affect duties on
autos, steel and aluminum that are already in place. The 90-day freeze also does not apply to duties paid by
Canada and Mexico because their goods are still subject to 25% fentanyl-related
tariffs if they do not comply with the US- Mexico- Canada trade agreement's
rules of origin. Those duties remain in place for the moment, with an
indefinite exemption for USMCA-compliant goods. "China is unlikely to change its strategy: stand firm,
absorb pressure, and let Trump overplay his hand. Beijing believes Trump sees
concessions as a weakness, so giving ground only invites more pressure,"
said Daniel Russel, vice president of international security and diplomacy at
the Asia Society Policy Institute. "Other countries will welcome the 90-day stay of
execution if it lasts but the whiplash from constant zigzags creates more
of the uncertainty that businesses and governments hate," Russel said. US stock indexes shot higher on the news, with the benchmark
S&P 500 index closing 9.5% higher. The Dow Jones Industrial Average flew
nearly 3,000 points higher, and the Nasdaq composite jumped 12.2%. Bond yields
came off earlier highs, and the dollar rebounded against safe-haven currencies. The relief spread through Asian markets as they opened on
Thursday, with Japan's Nikkei index surging almost 9%. Trump's tariffs had sparked a days-long selloff that erased
trillions of dollars from global stocks and pressured US Treasury bonds and the
dollar, which form the backbone of the global financial system. Canada and
Japan said they would step in to provide stability if needed - a task usually
performed by the United States during times of economic crisis. Analysts said the sudden spike in share prices might not
undo all of the damage. Surveys have found slowing business investment and
household spending due to worries about the impact of the tariffs, and a
Reuters/Ipsos survey found that three out of four Americans expect prices to
increase in the months ahead. Goldman Sachs cut its probability of a recession back to 45%
after Trump's move, down from 65%, saying the tariffs left in place were still
likely to result in a 15% increase in the overall tariff rate. Treasury Secretary Bessent shrugged off questions about
market turmoil and said the abrupt reversal rewarded countries that had heeded
Trump's advice to refrain from retaliation. He suggested Trump had used the
tariffs to create maximum negotiating leverage. "This was his strategy all
along," Bessent told reporters. And you might even say that he goaded
China into a bad position." Bessent is the point person in the country-by-country
negotiations that could address foreign aid and military cooperation as well as
economic matters. Trump has spoken with leaders of Japan and South Korea, and a
delegation from Vietnam met with US officials on Wednesday to discuss trade
matters, the White House said. Bessent declined to say how long negotiations with the more
than 75 countries that have reached out might take. Trump said a resolution with China was possible as well.
However, officials have said they will prioritize talks with other countries. "China wants to make a deal," Trump said.
"They just don't know how quite to go about it." Trump told reporters that he had been considering a pause
for several days. On Monday, the White House denounced a report that the
administration was considering such a move, calling it "fake news." Earlier on Wednesday, before the announcement, Trump tried
to reassure investors, posting on his Truth Social account, "BE COOL!
Everything is going to work out well. The USA will be bigger and better than
ever before!" Later, he added: "THIS IS A GREAT TIME TO BUY!!!" Reuters Source : The Nation |